Dayton vs VCU Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's Atlantic 10 Conference Championship Game
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Many bubble teams will be closely watching the Atlantic 10 Championship between the Dayton Flyers and the VCU Rams.
The Flyers are hoping to crash the tournament after a thrilling victory over Saint Louis on Saturday, but they must beat a Rams team that has defeated them twice and is very well-balanced.
I break down the action in my Dayton vs. VCU predictions and college basketball picks for Sunday, March 15.
Dayton vs VCU prediction
Dayton vs VCU best bet: Under 139.5 (-122)
Dayton has overcome poor shooting to reach the A10 Championship. The Flyers are shooting just 32.2% inside the arc in the tournament, and rank 316th in 2P% since February 1.
The Flyers shoot well from deep, but VCU’s perimeter defense has held opponents to just 30.4% since February 1.
The Rams have been locked in defensively, ranking 27th in eFG% the last six weeks, while Dayton is 33rd in ADJDE this season.
VCU’s last four games have gone Under, as have the last seven for Dayton. The slower pace of a championship game will extend those trends.
Dayton vs VCU same-game parlay
It’s difficult to beat a team three times in a season, but VCU took the first two behind a terrific perimeter defense that held Dayton to just 4-for-22 from deep on March 6.
Much of Dayton’s offensive ability comes from getting to the charity stripe. But VCU defends well without fouling, and it’s unlikely the Flyers reach the 53.3% free-throw rate they’ve managed in this tournament.
The Flyers struggle with turnovers and don’t get many offensive boards. VCU’s depth and balance on both sides will lead to it covering against the Flyers for the third time.
Dayton vs VCU SGP
- Under 139.5
- VCU -3.5
Our beyond the arc SGP: Board games
Look for Brandon Jennings and Michael Belle to both have strong days on the glass against this Dayton team.
Jennings stands just 6-foot-4 but has been crashing the glass of late. He’s averaging 5.5 rebounds over the past three weeks, with at least five boards in five of his last six games.
Belle had 14 rebounds in the two regular-season contests and has snatched at least six in each of his last 10 games.
Dayton vs VCU SGP
- Under 139.5
- VCU -3.5
- Brandon Jennings Over 4.5
- Michael Belle Over 5.5 rebounds
Dayton vs VCU odds
- Spread: Dayton +3.5 | VCU -3.5
- Moneyline: Dayton +145 | VCU -170
- Over/Under: Over 139.5 (-105) | Under 139.5 (-115)
Dayton vs VCU betting trend to know
Dayton has hit the game total Under in 15 of its last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI).. Find more college basketball betting trends for Dayton vs. VCU.
How to watch Dayton vs VCU
LocationPPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PADateSunday, March 15, 2026Tip-off1:00 p.m. ETTVCBSDayton vs VCU key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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